Tactical Pause Above $82,500 focus on perfect DCA Zone

Bitcoin (BTC/USDC) 

Date of Analysis: February 3, 2025 

Chart Timeframe: Daily 

Strategic Scenario (6 to 12 months) 

Bitcoin remains firmly in its Strategic Bullish Trend, supported by strong demand above the $64,900 Strategic Support level. The long-term outlook indicates a potential breakout above $130,000 and $140,000, contingent upon the resolution of the current tactical consolidation. 

Key Observation: 

The dominance of Bitcoin has surged to 60.8% of the total crypto market capitalization, marking its highest level since 2021. This confirms Bitcoin’s outperformance relative to the broader crypto market, a trend that remains strongly active and further reinforces long-term bullish sentiment. 

A- BTC Dominance (60,8%) 

B- ALT COIN Season (38/100) 

Tactical Scenario (1 to 3 months) 

After the penetration of $101,700 this weekend BTC confirmed alternative case reaching $91,000. Bitcoin’s bullish momentum has paused as the price stabilizes above the $82,500 Tactical Support level, forming a consolidation pattern. The $101,700 Tactical Resistance is a critical level for confirming a continuation of the bullish trend. 

Tactical Outlook: 

• A breakout above $101,700 will confirm the resumption of the uptrend, with a near-term target at $116,000. 

• The consolidation within the $82,500–$101,700 range may persist briefly before the bullish structure resolves. 

IMPORTANT: The Tactical Pause presents an excellent Smart DCA Zone to consolidate long-term Bitcoin positions. The alignment of strategic and tactical levels provides confidence for investors while offering tactical opportunities for traders. 

Alternative Scenario 

If Bitcoin closes below the $82,500 Tactical Support, a deeper corrective move could materialize, targeting $73,000. However, the Strategic Bullish Trend would remain intact as long as the price holds above the $64,900 Strategic Support. 

Technical Key Elements 

• RSI Indicator: Neutral, recovering above 40%, signaling the end of bearish momentum. 

• Moving Averages: EMA(34) and EMA(89) remain bullish, supporting the upward trend. 

• Key Levels: 

• Tactical Support: $82,500 

• Tactical Resistance: $101,700 

• Alternative Tactical Target: $73,000 

• Fibonacci Levels: 

• Immediate Resistance: $101,700 

• Higher Target: $116,000 

• Elliot Wave Analysis: 

• Wave (4) consolidation in progress, with Wave (5) expected upon a breakout above $101,700. 

Trade Idea Conclusion 

🎯 Buy Strategy: 

Consider entering long positions above $85,000, with stop-loss set below $82,500. Target tactical levels at $101,700 and $116,000. (SMART DCA) 

🚨 Alternative Sell Strategy: 

Consider selling any recovery below $101,700 to play an aggressive short move toward $86,000. 

Chart: Daily Basis (Candle Stick) - Logarithmic  

Indicators: Exponential Moving Average (21/34/89) - RSI (21) 
 
 

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