BTC at key support after having completed consolidation pattern. Watch 90,000$/94,000$ as key support for direct recovery.

Bitcoin (BTC/USDC)

Date of Analysis: November 14, 2025

Chart Timeframe: Daily

Strategic Scenario (6 to 12 months)

Bitcoin has confirmed the end of corrective Wave IV and is currently developing Wave V with strong bullish momentum. As long as the strategic support at $72,000 (Updated) holds, the long-term bullish trend remains valid, with targets at $140,000 and $147,500.

Key Observation: 

The dominance of Bitcoin has surged to 64% prior to 63,1% in May 2025 (11/07/2025 - source coinmarketcap) of the total crypto market capitalization since November 2024, marking its highest level since 2021. This confirms Bitcoin’s outperformance relative to the broader crypto market, a trend that remains strongly active and further reinforces long-term bullish sentiment.

Tactical Scenario in progress (1 to 3 months)

BTC was trading within a consolidation pattern since october pushing back the asset towards its major tactical support level and tactical key elements.

Momentum was turning bearish on the short-term run after the black Friday liquidity krash (11-10-2025) with RSI progressing below 50% and no divergence. Today the configuration has changed with potential RSI divergence on going close to key technical elements acting as support around 94,000$ and 90,000$, we do expect a larger recovery to take place with 109,000$ and 117,800$ as first tactical target to watch.

Alternative Scenario

A failure to confirm belo $94,000 followed by a break below $90,000, could trigger a retracement to $72,000, without invalidating the broader bullish structure but with a larger consolidation towards the strategic key support level.

Technical Key Elements

· RSI: close to support

· Moving Averages: EMA 21/34/89 trending downwards.

· Key Supports: $94,000 (Tactical DCA) & $72,000 (strategic).

· Breakout Confirmation Level: $117,800

· Elliott Wave: Wave V in progress, likely in sub-wave (3) V.

Tactical Trade Plan

Buy Strategy: Buy the dip below 100,000$

Targets: $117,800 and $147,500

Stop-Loss: Daily close below $90,000$

Chart: Daily Basis (Candle Stick) - Logarithmic Indicators: Exponential Moving Average (21/34/89) - RSI (21)

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