Ethereum (ETH/USDC) Major strategic signal a head with $4,840 Breakout in focus and Tactical Upside Toward $5,800 and $7,100

Date of Analysis: October 3, 2025 

Chart Timeframe: 1D (Daily)  

Strategic Horizon Analysis (6 to 12 months) 

Ethereum remains firmly within its Strategic Bullish Trend, confirmed by the break above the long-term consolidation channel. The Elliott Wave count suggests ETH is progressing into Wave V of Cycle 3, with strategic confirmation at $4,840. 

The bullish structure points to strategic targets at $5,800 and $7,100, aligning with the higher red resistance zones shown on the chart. This confirms Ethereum’s potential to outperform in the coming months as it extends its Wave 3 rally. 

The Strategic DCA Zone sits between $3,300 and $2,250, offering strong long-term accumulation opportunities if corrective pullbacks occur.  

Tactical Horizon Analysis (1 to 3 months) 

ETH is currently trading around $4,480 withina bullish pennant pattern, in progress to confirm a tactical and strategic continuation. 

Above $4,840 confirmation level, Ethereum should accelerate toward $5,800 as the primary tactical target, paving the way for the strategic move toward $7,100. 
 
As long as Key support stand valid at 3900 a direct upside move is expected 

Alternative Tactical Scenario 

If Ethereum fails to hold above the Pivot Tactique at $3,900 or breaks below $3,300, bearish pressure could push prices back to Deeper corrections toward $1,650 (major tactical support). It would only emerge in a high-risk scenario, currently considered low probability given the Elliott Wave count.  

Technical Analysis Summary 

RSI: Neutral at 50%, with bearish divergence cleared, allowing fresh bullish momentum to build. 

Moving Averages (21, 34, 89 EMA): Bullish alignment, favoring further upside. 

Key Levels: 

Strategic Confirmation: $4,840 

Tactical Target: $5,800 

Strategic Target: $7,100 

Tactical Supports: $3,900and $3,300 

Alternative Tactical Support: $2,900 

Elliott Wave: ETH progressing into Wave V of Cycle 3, confirming a larger bullish continuation phase. 

ETH vs. BTC Allocation Context 

While Bitcoin dominance remains elevated at 65% (July 2025), ETH has shown relative outperformance since Summer 2025. This supports the tactical thesis of rotating exposure into top Layer-1 majors, particularly ETH, which is now entering a confirmed breakout phase. 

Portfolio-wise, tactical overweight ETH relative to BTC appears justified. 

Tactical Trade Recommendations 

Buy Strategy 

Enter long positions above $4,840, targeting $5,800 initially. 

Extension target: $7,100. 

Suggested Stop-Loss: Below $3,900 (daily close).  

Summary 

Ethereum has entered a decisive breakout phase, with $4,840 as the strategic confirmation level. Tactical upside points to $5,800, with strategic continuation toward $7,100. Invalidation only occurs below $3,500, with the $2,900–$1,650 zone acting as the corrective alternative. 

Chart: Daily Basis (Candle Stick) - Logarithmic  
Indicators: Exponential Moving average (21/34/89) - RSI (21) 

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